East Noble
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #24
New Haven Semi-State Rank #6
West Noble Regional Rank #3
West Noble Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 57.0%
Advance to Semi-State 81.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Classic Ben Davis Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Meet West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 375 444 373 651 519 427 343 396 376 394 411
Team Adjusted Rating 444 373 366 378 427 343 396 376 394 411
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Classic Ben Davis Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Meet West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
15  Kayla McCulloch 10 18:34 18:11 18:19 18:28 18:53 18:50 18:35 18:43 18:34 18:33 18:30
84  Olivia Smolinske 10 19:36 20:05 19:53 19:57 19:31 20:04 19:23 19:40 19:17 19:28 19:29
151  Kara Kline 11 19:59 19:54 19:43 20:41 20:13 20:31 20:05 20:03 19:51
463  Krista Boese 11 21:13 22:41 21:41 21:27 21:23 21:01 21:02 21:01 20:57 21:15
512  Kyra Warren 11 21:24 20:55 20:57 21:03 21:08 21:11 21:04 21:29 21:45 22:02 22:11
902  Grace Kline 10 22:27 22:25 22:28 22:31 22:30 22:58 23:10 22:17 22:06 22:38
1,287  Lexie Moriarity 11 23:16 23:15 23:23 23:40 24:15 23:54 22:51 23:20 23:33 22:55 24:06
Jessica Vandiver 12 23:33 23:04 22:27 23:58 23:40 23:35 23:48
Abby Tjon 9 24:05 24:01 24:54 25:03 23:46 23:24
Brooke Binz 10 24:59 25:16 24:50




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 57.0% 18.6 433 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.9 6.4 7.8 8.5 9.2 7.3 4.6 1.8 0.3
Semi-State 81.8% 5.8 195 0.6 12.4 21.2 22.8 16.1 7.5 1.0 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.3 119 36.1 25.7 19.9 12.8 5.4
Sectionals 100% 1.5 44 46.8 53.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kayla McCulloch 100% 13.8 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.6 3.5 4.1 4.1 4.4 5.1 4.6 5.3 5.2 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.6 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.0 2.5 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Olivia Smolinske 70.8% 76.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.0% 57.3%
Kara Kline 57.4% 111.0 1.0% 10.4%
Krista Boese 57.0% 188.4 0.0% 0.0%
Kyra Warren 57.0% 192.9 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Kline 57.0% 204.9 0.0% 0.0%
Lexie Moriarity 57.0% 207.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kayla McCulloch 100% 4.8 0.7 7.1 14.0 16.4 15.4 14.8 12.1 7.7 4.9 3.3 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Olivia Smolinske 100% 22.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.7 3.6 4.1 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.6 4.0 3.8 100.0% 100.0%
Kara Kline 99.8% 37.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.8 99.0% 99.8%
Krista Boese 81.8% 89.2 0.2% 5.2%
Kyra Warren 81.8% 95.4 0.0% 1.4%
Grace Kline 81.8% 139.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lexie Moriarity 81.8% 165.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kayla McCulloch 100% 4.3 0.7 7.4 16.1 20.0 18.5 20.8 9.2 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Olivia Smolinske 100% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.6 5.4 8.9 9.8 10.1 8.7 8.4 7.5 6.9 5.7 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.1 2.6 1.9 1.5 100.0%
Kara Kline 100% 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.5 4.3 4.8 5.7 6.4 6.9 8.4 9.5 9.7 11.2 100.0%
Krista Boese 100% 46.2 0.0 100.0%
Kyra Warren 100% 51.6 100.0%
Grace Kline 100% 68.5 100.0%
Lexie Moriarity 100% 77.5 91.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kayla McCulloch 1.5 1.4 98.0 0.6 0.0
Olivia Smolinske 3.6 30.3 32.8 32.4 4.2 0.2 0.0
Kara Kline 5.4 0.9 5.3 18.0 66.0 8.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Krista Boese 14.4 0.5 2.1 4.0 5.7 6.8 8.2 8.9 9.9 10.1 9.9 9.8 8.9 7.5 5.0 2.2 0.5 0.1
Kyra Warren 16.9 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.1 4.1 5.6 6.5 7.9 9.3 11.0 12.2 13.3 13.2 8.0 2.2 0.4 0.1
Grace Kline 24.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 6.1 13.8 17.5 17.6
Lexie Moriarity 32.5 0.0 0.1